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Rhythmic Variability of Climate in Polar Regions


Front cover image
by A. Dmitriev, V. Belyazo
isbn  978-0-9847864-0-4 
US$125.00 :: ©2012
Trade Cloth :: 182 pages :: 7.5:"x10" :: 75 figs.

This is an English translation of the monograph that was published in 2006 at the Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute (AARI). The monograph presents detailed results of decades-long studies of long-term meteorological forecasts and climatic variability in the polar regions, including an in-depth analysis of glaciations and climates of the past geological epochs, examined with an emphasis on the contemporary climate of our planet. 

The authors came to the conclusion that gravitational interactions of the solar system’s planets have played a predominant role in the dramatic changes in the Earth climate. A great deal of attention is paid to basic structural links of the dynamics of atmosphere. Also emphasized is the dominant role of the high-pressure subtropical belt and interhemispheric interactions. It is also concluded that long-term forecasting should consider the processes in both hemispheres simultaneously.

For evaluating the long-term variability of atmospheric circulation and climate, considerable attention was paid to the developed criteria characterizing large-scale atmospheric processes such as the high-latitude index of atmospheric circulation, the number of elementary synoptic processes (ESP), the digital indexing of the long waves of the northern hemisphere, tropospheric classification, and others. All these indices are calculated for different time intervals (by days, ESPs, monthly, seasonally and annually), greatly simplifying forecasting procedures. The climatic catalogs of all the data for 1949–2011 have been developed as useful forecasting aids (available separately in electronic form, PDF).

As a logical result of the study, a detailed scenario of climatic changes is proposed for the entire 21st century with prognostic estimates of thermal background over the entire circumpolar zone of the northern hemisphere, by decade. The scenario envisions several periods of warming alternating with periods of cooling, with a general trend toward gradual cooling. The veracity of the authors’ forecast made in 2006 with a moderate cooling in 2009-2012 is confirmed by actual climatic events that occurred by 2012.

The content of the monograph is as follows. 
Ch.1. Formation stages and stability of the Earth’s climatic system. 
Ch.2. Gravity-caused cyclic nature of the cosmic and terrestrial processes. 
Ch.3. Manifestation of planetary rhythms in climatic variability. 
Ch.4. Dynamics of large-scale atmospheric circulation. 
Ch.5. Inter-hemisphere interaction of atmospheric processes. 
Ch.6. Specifics of large-scale atmospheric circulation. 
Ch.7. Tropospheric classification of high-latitude synoptic processes. 
Ch.8. Assessment of atmospheric interaction intensity. 
Ch.9. Current climate and forecast for the 21st century. 
References. 
Subject and Name Indices.

The authors have for decades led research at the AARI on climatic variability and long-term meteorological forecasts.

This monograph is addressed to a wide range of readers, including specialists working in various industries, research institutions, universities, regulatory bodies, etc. who are involved in meteorological research on climate and hands-on long-term weather forecasting, as well as oceanologists, hydrologists, geophysists, mariners, tourism agencies and other professionas, especially those concerned with the polar climate and sea ice conditionns. The book can also be a helpful aid for the US Navy and Air Force officers concerned with planning the strategies and future operations. Many non-professionals wondering about reasons and likely outcomes of climate change might find this book of a considerable interest as well.


Climate Catalogs Electronic File Companion
© 2012 Backbone Publishing Company
isbn 978-0-9847864-1-1 ::  $59.00

The Climate Catalogs is an electronic file in PDF format containing of the climate catalogs of elementary synoptic processes and natural stages of uniform development of atmospheric circulation over the northern circumpolar zone for 1949-2011. The catalogs have been developed as useful forecasting tools helping to comprehend the long-term atmospheric processes and climate changes in the polar regions, and thus making the long-term forecasting much more reliable and easier. They are therefore presented as an electronic file which is a companion (annex) to the monograph (Dmitriev, A, Belyazo, V 2012 Rhythmic variability of climate in polar regions due to planetary interactions). 

For evaluating the long-term variability of atmospheric circulation and climate, great attention was paid to developing the criteria characterizing large-scale atmospheric processes such as the high-latitude index of atmospheric circulation, the number of elementary synoptic processes (ESP), the digital indexing of the long waves of the northern hemisphere, tropospheric classification, and others. All these indices are calculated for different time intervals (by days, ESPs, monthly, seasonally and annually) – they greatly simplify the forecasting procedures. The catalogs and all the atmosphric characteristics and indices used, as well as their applications, are explained in great detail in this monograph. 

Authors plan to update the catalogs each year on an ongoing basis at their discretion. The annual updates for January-December period will be made at least once in February-March for the entire preceding year. After purchasing the catalogs, updates will be provided at no additional charge upon request only, via email. 

The catalogs are addressed to specialists who are involved hands-on with meteorological, oceanological, and geophysical research on climate changes and long-term weather forecasting.



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